Can Boris Johnson Secure a Last-Minute Brexit Deal?
When Michel Barnier, the European Union’s chief Brexit negotiator, makes public appearances these days, he can often be seen furrowing his brow. “We are open to looking at the ideas as well as proposals of the United Kingdom,” the Frenchman said at a meeting of German newspaper publishers in Berlin on Tuesday. however he said there could be no talk of a breakthrough. “I see no particular reason for optimism,” he said.
however in private, the EU Brexit diplomat carries a slightly different tune. In a recent conversation with members of the European Parliament in Strasbourg, France, Barnier said he expected little to happen in negotiations until the end of the Tory Party conference in Britain at the beginning of October. “however after of which, a short window of opportunity will open,” he said.
Brexit negotiations between Britain as well as the EU may be deadlocked, however there is usually growing evidence of which both sides want to try to reach an agreement again before the EU summit in mid-October. however time is usually running out because, as the idea stands, Britain’s deadline for leaving the EU is usually Oct. 31.
In recent days, the British have repeatedly sent papers with the heading “Property of Her Majesty’s Government” to Brussels. They contains ideas for preventing a hard border in Northern Ireland, even if the previously agreed upon emergency “backstop” provision were to be dropped by the Brexit agreement. Prime Minister Boris Johnson has categorically rejected the backstop, which is usually at the core of the conflict in negotiations.
A Last-Minute Push
EU officials are still unimpressed with what they’ve seen. “The proposals aren’t suitable replacements for the backstop,” EU sources say. however of which could still change. In addition to Barnier, there are also three additional key players inside Brexit drama seeking to reach an agreement, even if they have different reasons for doing so.
Johnson, for one, wants to win a national election in Britain likely to take place after the Brexit deadline. To keep the Brexit Party in check as well as inspire his Tory supporters, he has to keep the big promise he made to lead Britain out of the EU on time, however without the chaos of which could ensue inside event of a no-deal departure.
Angela Merkel is usually also pushing for a deal. The German chancellor fears of which the economic downturn in Germany could quickly descend into a full-blown recession if Britain were to leave the EU without a withdrawal agreement.
French President Emmanuel Macron also wants a deal if possible. He’s observing with concern how the Brexit virus threatens to weaken the EU at a time when the bloc is usually already facing additional major problems, including sluggish economic growth, rampant populism as well as unresolved migration issues. Macron wants to get the Brexit issue off the table.
The British have identified Berlin as the best address for promoting a deal. “The German government is usually more pragmatic towards a compromise,” said Greg Hands, a member of the British parliament with the Tories. Together that has a commission, the former British minister of state for trade as well as investment has drafted a paper on “alternative arrangements” intended to replace the backdrop. He’s currently touring European capitals to promote the paper.
Room for Maneuver
The EU’s current position — of which the idea won’t make any improvements to the withdrawal agreement under any circumstances — could crumble if the British finally submit proposals of which could be legally binding. Officials in Brussels consider very precise improvements to the so-called “Protocol on Ireland” to be feasible. Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar even seems open to the idea. the idea could be conceivable, for example, for the backstop to be reduced producing sure of which the idea could only bind Northern Ireland (the area the idea is usually intended to apply to as well as not Great Britain as a whole) to a customs union with the EU inside event the bloc is usually unable to reach a deal on the future relationship with the United Kingdom. of which could leave the rest of the UK free to reach its own trade deals, a fervent wish of the Brexiteers.
Johnson, for his part, has already indicated of which livestock as well as food in Northern Ireland could continue to be handled under EU rules inside future. of which could be an important step, too, given of which agricultural products account for about one-third of trade between the Republic of Ireland as well as Northern Ireland. The EU is usually at This kind of point pushing for a solution for all goods. the idea wants to prevent products of which don’t comply with EU standards by getting snuck into the internal market after Brexit through an external European border in Ireland without any border controls.
So far, though, the “alternative arrangements” London has presented to try to solve the problem, including the proposal to set up a list of trustworthy forwarders who could no longer need to be checked when crossing the border, have failed to convince EU officials.
Concern is usually growing in Brussels of which time for an agreement is usually running out as well as of which, ultimately, Johnson will be unable to obtain a majority in parliament for a deal anyway. of which’s why many in Brussels think the idea could be best for the British to go ahead as well as prepare the official letter necessary for requesting an extension to the Brexit deadline inside event no deal comes to fruition by the Oct. 31 deadline.